Authored by Christopher B. Swift
January 31, 2012

Offering technical & mechanical analysis for
the improvement of risk management.

 

Futures trading is not for everyone. The risk of loss in trading futures can be substantial; therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and there is no assurance that your trading experience will be similar to the past performance.

 Mid Day Cattle Comment

To sign up for the Mid Day Cattle Comment, simply click the link above, fill the form out completely, and I will add your email address.  This comment is produced while the markets are trading with the intent to help decipher information for the purpose of making a more informed decision.

 

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 Live Cattle:

From Wednesday to Friday, the "Shootin the Bull" commentaries will be suspended as I attend the NCBA tradeshow.  I will have full quote and order entry capabilities at the show and can be reached by phone or email.

Volatility has picked up significantly in the fats.  With precautions having been urged at every turn, I see little to do at this juncture.  Sectors in the industry continue to be perceived as working on negative margins. 

The hourly charts on the February and April contracts shows a 5 wave decline from the highs made last week.  Today's rally is anticipated to be a correction of that decline.  This leads me to anticipate another 5 wave decline to approximately $120.50 February and $124.97 April.

   Feeder Cattle:

Major news media outlets have begun writing stories that cattle prices are going to go up. One yesterday in the USA Today, and today from the Vancouver Sun news paper.  Readers have also commented on stories from NBC and CBS, but I cannot confirm or deny these stories.  On the mid day cattle comment, I made the recommendation to complete any options purchases needed to secure a minimum sale price for your product.  From here, I anticipate a great deal of volatility to emerge and potentially a significant set back.  None of which has materialized yet.  In my opinion, this is good.  With so much capital at risk, and uncertainty, due to history being made, I continue to urge protecting the bottom side and leaving the top end open. 
Corn:

 The correction appears to be moving sideways, rather than retracing much price.  This leads me to anticipate a breakout to the upside.  A move to the top end of the trading range is anticipated. 

Wheat:

The chart pattern on wheat has changed.  To what, I am unsure.  This is the reason for not commenting on the wheat. 

    For a copy of the "Security Agreement And Assignment Of Hedging Account" just let me know and I will email you the PDF file for you to view.

New Account Forms

Live account forms on line.  They are very simple to use and can be filled out in a matter of minutes. I look forward to earning your business.  If you have any questions or would like further information, please feel free to contact me at anytime.

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Wave 5 continues to unfold. 

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Futures trading is not for everyone. The risk of loss in trading futures can be substantial; therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and there is no assurance that your trading experience will be similar to the past performance.

144 2nd Avenue N., Suite 207             Nashville, TN  37201             1-877-863-2206               cswift@rcgdirect.com

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